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Preseason Prediction Accuracy (2023)


This page ranks the accuracy of the preseason magazines' conference predictions for 2023, by comparing them to conference finish.

Lower scores indicate more accurate predictions; the lower the score, the closer the predictions were to the actual results. Magazines are sorted by total score for all conferences, with the best predictions (lowest total scores) at the top. The best prediction for each conference/division is highlighted in the list. For information on the scoring method, see the notes file.

Rank Magazine
(yellow=web, blue=PDF)
Total
Score
Amer.
Athl.
ACC B1G
East
B1G
West
Big 12 Conf
USA
MAC
East
MAC
West
MWC PAC12 SEC
East
SEC
West
Sun
Belt
East
Sun
Belt
West
1 Media Day polls 202½ 3147½27 331642 231664 47
2 Steve Wrathell's CPA Rankings 211 304747 331844 211862 107
3 CFB Model by Dunham 215½ 1954½27 35½1643 19½277 12
4 Autumn 11 216 324147 322142 242262 109
5t McIllece Sports 216½ 285545 30144 281456 811
5t Versus Sports Simulator 216½ 235136 32½1794 25½2164 7
7t Lindy's 218 324327 372120 301564 109
7t Athlon 218 355127 311722 201965 129
9 Phil Steele 221½ 30503 282661 23186 10
10 Pick Six Previews 225 294947 362542 2616½5 89
11 Arena Fanatic 226½ 29½44511 411741 202449 107
12 DRatings.com 229 315347 411942 251864 87
13t Fifth Quarter 233 284448 401841 2728½6 911
13t USA Today 233 255925 402065 202267 79
15 CollegeFootballPoll.com 237½ 355027 55½1624 191860 1211
16 ESPN FPI 244 275787 442385 211472 138

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