Preseason Home Up (over/under index)

Cumulative Overrated/Underrated Teams


This is a table of teams' under-/over-ratedness over the span 1989 to present. Teams are sorted by total rating, with the most underrated teams at the top. All teams rated in the preseason or final ratings in any year in the span are given. Additional notes on the table's contents follow the table.

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Team Total 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994 1993 1992 1991 1990 1989
Washington State 79 --- --2 16-5-- ------ -----17 416---17 --5-11- --
Boise State 74 --- -3-4 4--710 -67-2 -61015-21 -6141011- -------- ----
Utah 72 -13-411 --3--3 95----3 24---165- ------- 16-----
Texas Christian 67.5 -724-2 -- -714.5-13 -423-7 -43312 19-6215- 13--2- -------- --
Cincinnati 67 --410 1752- -----1-18 99------ -------- ----
Kansas State 65.5 012- ----2.5- -3-1111-- -----15 -819 -14114 -6141127 6----
Brigham Young 55 --7 15---- ------11 -101210-- --1--- -621-8 -4-3 -174
Missouri 54 18-- --3- ---11221 --78- -1322-- -11---- -53---- ----
Northwestern 53 --- 16-59-3 --29--- ------- -10---- 518----- -
Mississippi 45.5 11-315 -----15 50- ----7.5 12----13- --84-4 ----10-5 -
Team Total 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994 1993 1992 1991 1990 1989
Boston College 44.5 --- --- --------- -15.5675- -35--- ---536 5---
Central Florida 42.5 --- -7-513.520 ---16--5- -------- -------- ----
Oregon 40.5 8.5-5 -10-177 -1.5--2 -141-7 3-174 123-113.5 -3--13 7197--- 815-----
Tulane 36 -17- ---- -------- -------- --19----- ----
Oregon State 35.5 -49- -------- 6--1-2 815---- -8.522--- --------
Houston 32 --9 -----7 18---8-- ------- -------- ---613 -3
Louisville 32 7-- -- --81-2 013--- --175-8 20--69- ------2- -12-
Kansas 30 3-- ------- -----1 -1219--- -------- 17--4---
Mississippi State 29.5 -6- --5 -107--15- --511- ------- -8.5213-- --2-13 ---
Baylor 28 --1421 -13---9 -9412-13- --------- -------- -3---
Team Total 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994 1993 1992 1991 1990 1989
Michigan State 27.5 --1217 --9-15 11-1403.5 20-10912- 2------9 --19-6 -2---- --2310
Minnesota 25 --- -516-- -------- -----6-- -8------ ----
North Carolina State 23 5-156 --3 3------1- ------10 14------- 9-382--
Kentucky 22 --8 --14- -------- -------- -------- ----
Maryland 22 --- ---- ------3- -----4 0815-- -------- --
Texas Tech 22 -1-- ---- -------5 04-6 28------ --3----- 7
Iowa 21.5 -3-1-3 43 1--817-- ---1512.5 6--11-14 111818---- -511-- -1228-9
Georgia Tech 20.5 --- -- ----918- ---63 4------ -149-7 16.51----- -1924-
Louisiana-Lafayette 20 --9 11--- -------- -------- -------- ----
Wake Forest 17 --11 ----- ------- -3-8-- ------- ----1-- -
Team Total 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994 1993 1992 1991 1990 1989
Oklahoma State 16.5 10-1315 -5-- -296--4 -117.513-17 10-----4 -----2-- ------
Miami-Ohio 16 --- ---- -------- -----16-- -------- ----
Navy 16 --- -6--- 8------ ----2-- ------- ------
Southern Miss 16 --- ---- -----6-- -------- -412-5 7------- -
Utah State 16 --2 --4- ----10--- -------- -------- ----
Arizona State 15 --- -- ----1013 5--1-- -9.510-4 -77-.5 -----18 1218----- --
Colorado State 15 --- ---- -------- -------- 12--136- -10-----
East Carolina 15 --- ---- -------- ------- -2---- -----17- -
Nevada-Reno 15 --- ---- ------15- -------- -------- ----
Alabama 13.5 -1-4- 2-6 0--11 -2-6 1.50-95.5 18--13- -2.514- -2311- -94 -104 -11818 -119
Team Total 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994 1993 1992 1991 1990 1989
Air Force 13 --- -4-- -------- -------- --13----- --4--
South Carolina 13 -3- ------ -182354- -1---- --87---- -------
Coastal Carolina 12 --- 12--- -------- -------- -------- ----
Western Michigan 11 --- ----11 ------- ------- ------- ------
Arizona 9 15-- ----- -27---- -------- ---2222- --1-12 3---21
Hawaii 9 --- ---- -------- -3------ -------- 6---
Indiana 9 ---5 14--- -------- -------- -------- ----
Liberty 10 1-- 9--- -------- -------- -------- ----
Marshall 9 --- ------ 0---- ------- -5--14- ------- --
Pittsburgh 8.5 --4.513 -------- ---811 ----31 -177--- ------- --9
Team Total 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994 1993 1992 1991 1990 1989
Stanford 8.5 --- ---12 -6.5-215 -14-6 13022- -------10 ----8 ---5 -1084--
Arkansas 8 --25 --- ---4-- -1683- --211-- ----510-- ----2- -102
Army 8 --- --7 -------- -------- -----1- ------
Fresno State 8 -2- --8 --------- ----84 -------- ---2---
Appalachian State 7 --- -7- -------- -------- ------- ------
Illinois 7 --- --- --------- -66--- --14-32 ----4 -2--- -1616
Memphis 7 --- -39-1 --1----- -----1 -------- -------
Toledo 7 --- 2--- -------- -------3 -----2-- ----
Troy 7 -7- ---- -------- -------- -------- ----
Tulsa 7 --- ---- ------2- -------- -------- -5--
Team Total 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994 1993 1992 1991 1990 1989
San Jose State 5 --- ---- ----5--- -------- -------- ----
Vanderbilt 5 --- ---- ---23--- -------- -------- ----
Rutgers 4.5 --- ---- -------- --9.514- -------- --------
Northern Illinois 4 --- ---- ----4--- -------- -------- ----
Southern Methodist 4 4-- - -------- -------- -------- -------
Wyoming 4 --- ---- -------- -------- ----4--- ----
Ball State 3 --- 3--- -------- -------- -------- ----
Bowling Green 3 --- ---- -------- -----3-- -------- ----
Central Michigan 3 --- ---- -------3 -------- -------- ----
Duke 3 --- ---- ---3---- -------- -------- ----
Team Total 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994 1993 1992 1991 1990 1989
Purdue 3 --- ---- -------- ----11-2 --34-2 211------ --
Colorado 2 --- ---- 9------- ------ -1313-1 -12--18 -393 -735212
San Diego State 2 --1 ----1 ------- ------- ------- ------
Western Kentucky 2 --- ---- -2------ ------- ------- ------
Buffalo 1 --- 1--- -------- -------- -------- ----
Virginia 1 --- ----- ------- -----5 -74-- -1-1 --1111- -5--3 8
UNRANKED 0 --- - -------- -------- -------- -------
South Florida -1 --- ----1 7------- -7---- -------- -------
West Virginia -6.5 --- --6-8--- -127-21 -16-1 -621-15 -1----15 ----18.5-- --2
Team Total 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994 1993 1992 1991 1990 1989
Iowa State -7 ---19 17-6--- ------- ------- -1----- ------
Virginia Tech -9 --- ---3 -510--- -9-13 -8-3.5 1.5-1-2 116-18 -2-105 93-416 -44--- -
California -10 --- ------ ------15 --13-1 -17--- -------1 -618--
Penn State -23 -512-7 -207-5 019--- ---9-1 13-9.5-6 23--8--6 -8-2 -135-10 87.5-2323 -6
Syracuse -23.5 --- --11 --------- -------12- --11-6.5 -127--20 48-4-12
North Carolina -26 -3--16 0- ---311-- ---10-4 ------- ----141 13-6-7 57---
Wisconsin -30.5 -10-8.5-18 -15 11-20217 -120 -136510 -13-17 19114-5- --19613- --2-15 20----
Auburn -35.5 --- -101-19 02-19 -1724--22- -153-2.5 39-2112- 8--35 -8-146 22--13 -154
Ohio State -36 -7-2-2 0 30-3 -2-35 -99-11 -30 -860 2-11-2 10--10 -17-1 -286664 -9-12
Georgia -36.5 -324 -2-1 -3.514 -11-181 -221.5-1 -4-13.5 -1112-7 3-4363 -11-110 16---3 -1279--
Team Total 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994 1993 1992 1991 1990 1989
Washington -38 1018-8 -4-15 -8-1212- -41---- ------14 -14112- -8-128 -3--14 -66133
UCLA -50.5 -5- -----5 -14-3 10---- --11-10- ---12- -9121- -10.5-10 8-133- -21
Tennessee -54 -614- -2-- -1-15 1------ -80 -2-23 0-2 -213-13 -79-5 -66-10 -114-5 521
Florida -69 ---11 -6 213.5-11121- -1412-4 -22-2 4-75.5 -3.5-12 -.5-20 -2-2 -6-2 -333 -45-2 -48-
Clemson -70 -14-9-11 -2-1 03112 1084-2 -185-5 5-94- -7-4- --7-- -1-2 -14-8 -30
Texas A&M -80 -2-17-20 8-1210-- --7-11 20.5-15.57- --3--10 ---4- -2-155 6-13-11 9-5-5 4-36
Louisiana State -87.5 -710-13 -16414 -7-7 -3-13 -3-11.5 311-7 -17161 -1212-11 44--19 -29--- ----18
Miami-Florida -90 --11-15 4-1 -1646--- ---137 --1-14 -7-6 -2113 -36-13 -3-101 -10-23 -12
Notre Dame -90.5 0-111 3-3815-17 0-8-6 20-17--6.5 ---1617 --89 -1111-8 0-17 -13-4 -225 0-7 -50
Michigan -91.5 1223 -12.5-11-5 -12.5-214- -9-1614 -- --146 -22-61 1-7-5 2-713.5 -6-4 -7-192 -44-6
Team Total 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994 1993 1992 1991 1990 1989
Nebraska -91.5 --- -----1 --2-8 -7-12-11 12--7-7 2-26.5 -18-3 -72-13 3-5115 -33-17 -4
Florida State -101 2.515- -- -8-23-3 -4-4.59 -4-194-9 5-5-16 -9-94 -17-9 -30 -11-1 -3-3 04-3 62
Oklahoma -118.5 2-18-9 -2-34 3-216-2210 -11-141-23 -12-3 -17-1 -2-4 -220--- --10.5-13 3-7-2 0-13
Texas -146.5 7-9-10 -5.5-158-4 ---6-17 -10--200 6-7.5-10 12-8 -4-2 -50 10.5-14-16 4-7- -8-15 14-6
Southern Cal -148 -199-9 -4--11 -711-17 -62-25 17-12-18 0-21 -1010 14--12 -10--1 -18-61 -8--11 -12-4
Team Total 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994 1993 1992 1991 1990 1989

The teams at the top of the table were the most underrated (final poll standing furthest above preseason poll standing) over the span 1989-present. The teams at the bottom of the list were the most overrated (final poll standing furthest below preseason poll standing) over the span 1989-present.

A "dash" in the table indicates that the team in question was unranked in both preseason and final polls that year; a "zero" indicates that the team's preseason and final rankings were the same that year. Any other number indicates that the team was ranked in at least one of the preseason or final polls, and the number is the difference between the two (with "unranked" counted as 26th).

Note: These numbers do not really reflect how good the teams are; they instead reflect how well they lived up to preseason expectations. The worst teams in the game would tend to have a score of zero, but that would not mean they are stronger than teams like Texas which ended up with negative numbers in this list.


Preseason Home Up (over/under index)