What's the accuracy score mean? Preseason Home Up (accuracy index)

Preseason Prediction Accuracy (2021-2023)


See "notes" following the table for more information on its contents.

Magazine Rank Total
Score
2023 2022 2021
CFB Model by Dunham (was Cap Heresy) 1 536.5 215.5 170 151
Media polls 2 549.5 202.5 172 175
Autumn 11 3 555 216 162 177
CPA Rankings 4 559 211 164 184
McIllece Sports 5 559.5 216.5 160 183
Versus Sports Simulator (formerly compughterratings.com) 6 561 216.5 168 176.5
Pick Six Previews 7 561.5 225 167.5 169
Athlon 8 570 218 172 180
Phil Steele 9 571.5 221.5/td> 176 174
DRatings.com 10 578 229 174 175
Arena Fanatic 11 584 226.5 188 169.5
Lindy's 12 585 218 177 190
ESPN 13 606 244 174 188
CollegeFootballPoll.com 14 622.5 237.5 184 201

This page shows the accuracy of preseason magazines' conference predictions for the three-year span 2021-2023 ("the last three years" going into the 2024 season). In order to qualify for either table, a magazine must have been published for every year used in that table.

There is also a "2019-2023 (last five years)" table and a "2014-2023 (last ten years)" table.

Tables with more years have the advantage of having a larger sample of data: a single unusually lucky or unlucky year has less impact on the standings. However, tables with fewer years have the advantage of including more magazines: several of the magazines available today were not published if one goes back far enough.

Notes:


What's the accuracy score mean? Preseason Home Up (accuracy index)