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Preseason Prediction Accuracy (2012)


This page ranks the accuracy of the preseason magazines' conference predictions for 2012, by comparing them to conference finish.

Lower scores indicate more accurate predictions; the lower the score, the closer the predictions were to the actual results. Magazines are sorted by total score for all conferences, with the best predictions (lowest total scores) at the top. The best prediction for each conference/division is highlighted in the list. For information on the scoring method, see the notes file.

Rank Magazine
(yellow=web, cyan=app)
Total
Score
ACC
Atl.
ACC
Coa.
Big
East
B1G
Lead.
B1G
Leg.
Big 12 Conf
USA
East
Conf
USA
West
MAC
East
MAC
West
Mtn
West
PAC12
North
PAC12
South
SEC
East
SEC
West
Sun
Belt
WAC
1 Compu-Picks 132 67108 6782 84154 801120 8
2 Athlon 134 08126 4756 610146 861410 12
3 USA Today (glossy) 134½ 07116 63 898 861413 12
4 Phil Steele 137 45129 6674 8984 651121 12
5 Lindy's 139 21194 61084 89106 861214 12
6t compughterratings.com 141 210118 8776 64134 871216 12
6t The Sporting News 141 210108 6572 129138 851412 10
8t Arena Fanatic 142 07138 61087 611126 661212 12
8t CPA Rankings 142 48910 8686 106114 861018 10
10 Football Outsiders 145 66156 10887 65114 841217 12
11 College Football Matrix 146 45 87 812½4 91120½ 12
12t Fort Heresy 147 47108 5679 89134 86920 14
12t GamePlan 147 481110 8677 88126 861214 12
14t [Conference media polls] 152 281010 8986 88136 861416 12
14t Fox Sports Next 152 210710 8776 88136 871419 12
16t Blue Ribbon / ESPN 154 2101010 61176 67136 8101416 12
16t Sports Illustrated 154 4911 875 97106 881320 12
18 CBS Sports 158 411116 81074 121396 861417 12
19 McIllece Sports 159 86216 6989 79102 661222 12
20 USA Today (newsprint) 161½ 410½12½10 1011½4 6196 861413 14
21 CollegeFootballPoll.com 168 4121012 68117 613144 841722 10

Magazines not picking every conference
N/R PickSixPreviews.com 153 261110 27-- ---6 8412- -
N/R Rivals / Yahoo 161 261210 8776 1010-- -712- -

Penalties for skipping prediction (average of others' scores, plus two points):
- Penalties - 5101310 910108 1010147 1081519 14

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